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The Good, The Bad, The Ugly Newsletter

Hey Cam, our first video together, what do you think?

It's going to be fun.

Yeah. 2024 was a wonderful year.

On a personal note, I was lucky enough to trick my best friend in to marry me before she got her

cataract surgery done and I look forward to you all meeting her.

Secondly, the families we care for just had a real good year.

We ran with four models.

The rates of return this year ran from 9% if you only had 35% in the stock market up to our most

aggressive model, which is 90% in the stock market and it achieved 17% return.

I couldn't be happier when our clients are doing great, I'm having a really good day.

It you know, This is why we do it at this stage of our life is for all of you folks and I'm so happy to see

you all doing so well.

Many of you are in our balance model could because you're retired and it's only 60% in the stock

market and even it had achieved 12% return this year.

Now your returns might vary slightly, you know, depending on if you did a bunch of withdrawals and

deposits throughout the year.

Now the stock market has been great for a couple of years, so it's tempting for investors and advisors

to get too euphoric and follow the herd and go all in and let's just buy tech stock or we'll go out and

buy one of the 20,000 types of cryptocurrencies.

You know, I was reading some great headlines the other day around that regarding the euphoria of, of

having a new president and how bullish the world is that we have a new president in case except, of

course, the people that really don't like Mr. Trump, they're not too bullish.

But yeah, most of the world is though, they know he's pretty business friendly.

So here, here's some headlines that that I was reading.

The president will lower tax and be business friendly and was elected on a platform of protectionism

and tariffs which will make the United States really strong.

Interest rates have been lower to stimulate the economy.

Reserve requirements that banks have been reduced.

So the money supply in the United States has increased by 60% to get consumers to borrow and buy

and get the economy rock and rolling margin account balances of people boring to buy.

Stocks are at record levels.

This all gives us a feeling of prosperity when it comes to the stock market.

So people have started to speculate or gamble in the investment world, real estate is also doing really

well as FOMO or the fear of missing out.

The president has also announced deportation of a million or more illegal immigrants back to Mexico.

That makes Americans believe that they're going to have more jobs, less than unemployment.

Everything like that. It sounds pretty good eh, Cam?

The math is starting to match the Cinderella economy.

U.S. economic headlines are indeed positive under the Trump presidency, at least in my world.

So the attitude of advisors in my world is let's rock'n'roll.

However, I tricked you again here.

These, these headlines, I listed above, even though they sound exactly like today, they're not from

today.

They're actually from the 1920s when Herbert Hoover was president in the roaring 20s.

And those indeed were all the things that he did.

President Hoover placed tariffs and deported 1.8 million people Back to Mexico.

At that time he called it the Great Repatriation.

Hoover's bull market was followed as you know-the Roaring 20s was incredible bull market where the

stock market quadrupled.

Unfortunately, it was followed by an 89% market crash.

The stock market stayed down for 20 years and created the Great Depression.

7000 U.S. banks failed and unemployment hit 25%.

That's quite a bit more than the three to 6% unemployment we have today.

Yeah, that's a pretty dooming gloom scenario.

Yeah, I guess you're taking the bad side of the good, bad and ugly.

I've taken the old guy-bad side.

I have to be optimistic. I'm just a little bit younger than you are.

Yeah, I've got no choice.

Well, Mr. Trump and all the investment advisors, I think, Cam, need to read their history books before

going all in, because President Trump, if he fulfills all his provinces, he's about to do exactly what

President Hoover did.

But am I predicting a stock market crash?

No, no, I'm not, because no one knows if the market's going to crash.

You can't get run over by a train you can see coming.

So no one knows what's going to happen under the Trump presidency.

It may be the best stock market in the world.

It might have a crash. You know.

What are your thoughts?

You know what, with all those stars aligning like President Hoover's, it's really hard to say.

The history does rhyme.

It doesn't always mirror itself.

But there's a lot of differences between now and 1929, obviously.

Got to look at the other side of the coin.

I'll take the good half of the good and bad ugly today.

You know, back in 1929, there was no Federal Reserve or Bank of Canada.

There's no social safety Nets like EI.

There was no old age security or Canada Pension Plan.

There certainly wasn't a Canadian Deposit Insurance Corp or the Canadian Investor Protection Fund.

So there's all those backstops that are in place nowadays.

If there was a Fed Reserve back in 29, I have a hard time feeling that, that Great Depression actually

would have happened.

Yeah, that's true, right.

So, but stock markets do predict the future.

They're always leading indicators on the economy.

And AI is going to be increasing productivity, similar to the 1990s tech boom.

So there is a lot of optimism going there.

If President Trump does fall through those promises like lowering interest rates, cutting taxes,

increasing oil supply, deregulating the business world, then all of that is all catalysts for increased

corporate profits and with that, increased stock prices.

You know, I think I think he'll do that.

I really do.

Because you know what, he likes to make money.

So that's why I think he will do a lot of that stuff.

Yeah.

What did he say last time he made a civilian office?

“How's your 401ks doing?”

Yeah, Yeah.

And you can bet he's shorting and longing some investments on his own.

But anyways, you didn't hear it here.

I don't have a clue what Donald Trump's doing. So.

But no, Cam's right.

Technology is a huge inflection point.

I lived through it in the 90s and saw a crash in 2000, obviously.

But it's even more staggering this time than it was in the 90s.

I think in 1900, for example, it took 150 years to double all human knowledge on the planet.

1945 it took 25 years.

In 2020, we were excited because it was taking two days only to double all human knowledge on the

planet.

Guess what it is today, 12 hours.

Every 12 hours all human knowledge on the planet is doubling.

If that's not going to have an effect over, a positive effect over corporations and corporate profit, I

don't really know what will.

The markets might be a little overheated.

We're starting to see some crazy crap recently.

For example, it's Sotheby’s’ auction the other day, on November 8th, a crypto investor, Justin Son,

paid the Italian artist Mauricio Cartland $6.2 million for a beautiful piece of art entitled The Comedian.

Now, you know, you might be going taken for a ride of your piece of art.

It's called The Comedian.

Yeah, no doubt.

And yes, it is a banana. Duct tape to a wall.

It's a $6.2 million banana.

It was reported that after he bought it, he tore it off the wall and ate it.

Did you bring your lunch?

Got a banana in there?

No Riley eats all the bananas.

I'll bring the duct tape.

So as always, we're going to have to participate the best in your plan, but prepare for the worst when

we see crap like this going on.

As always, we remain cautious so we don't damage your family or send you back to work.

If you are retired, we will not mark a time around this kind of background noise as the Federal Reserve

may continue with the soft landing.

And you would miss wonderful years.

You really would.

So we're not going to get cute and go to the sidelines, but we're prepared.

The stock market has dropped roughly every five years for 100 years, and they'll do so.

They'll continue to do so long after I'm not on this planet or you're not on this planet too.

But remember the other side of the coin is when the stock market rises, it rises 80% of the time and it

only drops 20% of the time.

And remember 80% of your investment success will be termed by not getting too euphoric in the

good times like now and gamble instead of invest.

And on the other side, not capitulating and selling at the bottom when your investments are having

bad times.

The markets has corrected every five years, we know it'll come again.

So guess what we're going to do?

We're going to take advantage of opportunities when that happens.

The third piece of good news that we want to share with you today is that, as you know, we moved to

a new fantastic home, namely National Bank.

Yes, thank you, everybody.

From all of us here at the Gustafson-Lienau Advisory Group, from the bottom of our hearts, Brad and I

can't thank you enough for moving with us.

When advisors move an institution, a financial institution, typically it takes about 12 to 16 months to

move all of the clients over.

And there's only about 50 to 70% of the clients will follow their advisors during those changes.

And we are so, so honored that effectively 100% more client families have come with us, except for

one that we're actually going to be meeting with this week here to have a have a sit down.

So thank you again for signing all of those documents and DocuSign and working through that

arduous process with us.

We know how much work it was to go through those mountains of paperwork because guess who

also had to sign all those forms too?

This guy right here.

So you broke a lot of records, and I'll show you this graph here.

We actually tracked our transition process.

Couple things about it.

First off, the title is Bee Gees because that's what National Bank had for a code name for our team.

They like to stick to a theme of rock bands or old bands I guess, and it seemed fitting that we were the

Bee Gees.

We care for about 150 families, including children as well.

So that leads to about 225 couples.

And here's the results.

90% of you gave us the verbal yes within that first week that you're going to work with us continually.

And all clients except for the one family that we're still up to meet with have completed paperwork

and their hard earned savings have all been moved over here by day 70.

So during this transition, there was some eyebrows even the President of National Bank Financial

Wealth Management called us and said we did not know that a move could be completed this fast.

Now we're still cleaning up a few items for some of you.

However, as a couple weeks ago, we're resuming normal operations and we started to meet with the

referrals, start to continue on our regular review cycle and continue with all of the regular financial

planning after this interruption.

So stay tuned.

Early next year, Brittlyn is going to be announcing the details of a big red carbon event for you and all

of your families to attend.

Brittlyn is currently interviewing some venues as we speak.

We're going to need a big place to house all everybody.

You know, I feel it's really weird when you're talking a long time like that because I'm sitting here

nodding that you're talking now.

You know how I feel.

Kind of reminds you when we're watching the Prime Minister or someone standing beside the

nodding.

So all kidding aside, there's quite a few reasons we moved.

Some of you asked, you know, why the heck did you guys go through this?

And you know, I'm moving at my age was the last thing I wanted to do.

There's many reasons we moved.

Number one, size and safety.

National Bank over here, managed $653 billion or way over half a trillion dollars.

Stable history equals a stable future.

The bank's 165 years old and, and the independent wealth division where we work, where we reside is

122 years old.

And no, I wasn't there when the doors came.

I promise.

The most important thing which I got in writing, you know, I'm too old to be told what to do.

So the most important thing that I wanted writing was autonomy.

So we're free.

We know for sure we are free to operate independently from the bank.

We do not have to use their investments.

We can use the 60 any of the 68,000 investments out there that we want and continue to run the

business the way we want to and the way we've always ran it in an ethical client centric man.

Well that was so, so very important.

We know without all of you that we don't have jobs.

Therefore, the ability to continue white glove services paramount.

It was paramount in our decision to move.

National Bank will be a good partner in that goal.

I did, I did quite a lengthy due diligence on that for the last several years

Now National Bank is ranked #1 every year in the JD Powers Client Service survey.

And this was very important to me.

This, this graph as well as many other things, safety.

You know, all the banks and, and financial institutions I interviewed, they all had cyber walls like any

other business.

What's unique is National Bank has also employed hackers to play defense against other hackers to

give that extra level of safety to your money.

And, and that sure made me feel really, really safe.

Yeah.

And coming over here, the entire team did follow us except for one person.

So we need to search across Canada, find somebody to fill those shoes and we're very grateful that

we've found someone with even more experience actually to run our paperwork processing and the

compliance desk.

So last month, Tracy Spence, you may see some emails coming in from her already has moved from

Toronto to take over our vacant desk here on the team.

A little bit about her.

She has 30 years’ experience in this role.

She's been a past winner of the highest performance award with one of her past employers.

She's worked at several banks and including National Bank in the past and fits in and shares with the

team the love of the clients and the higher purpose of caring for families.

Most importantly, she does laugh at Brad's dad jokes as well, too.

That's a must to try and fit in here.

Good timing.

Yeah.

So we have yet to get some new head shots done up.

So we'll be bringing Tracy in here shortly so you can get a a quick look at her and and put a face to

the name.

“Hi, I'm Tracy.

I'm very excited to meet all of you.”

But presently, the team in no particular order.

Many of you know Brittlyn already, she's our operations manager and really the circus leader.

We've got Jeremy who's our experienced plan writer with years of planning experience and he even

worked at banks before, lending experience as well too.

Augustine's our support member for anything administrative wise when it comes to your accounts and

now Tracy here as well, obviously joining in too.

So big team to be able to continue that white glove service approach.

I want to close also and back up what Cam said.

Thank you, thank you, thank you so much.

I'm personally humbled that you all followed us.

It, it's a heck of a compliment.

Thank you so, so much.

I also want to thank the team, though obviously they work side by side with Cam and I on many

weekends and well into the evening during this process till I started to lose my voice.

They made fun of me because I had a bag of throat lozenges behind my desk during the transition,

but they backed me up through all of that.

I'm also very proud of a man who's like a son to me, which is, which is Cam right here.

He stepped up and took possession of the administrative part of the practice through this move and

freed me up to work on the business, making it a Better Business instead of getting buried in the

business and the paperwork and admin minutia of the practice.

And I'd like I've, I've told some of you and I happy to announce to all of you that I've changed the

name of our business from Gustafson Associates to Gustafson-Lienau Advisory Group.

I guess that stands for GLAG

I Google GLAG, there's nothing bad.

We're OK.

We're not going to get sued.

I'm glad that it doesn't mean anything shifty or anything.

I sure hope not.

I didn't think about that.

Also, our legal department is putting the finishing touches on a succession contract as we speak to

ensure if I fall ill or croak on you, that Cam will take you and your family over the finish line for the rest

of your entire life.

And that sounds like a small thing, but it gives me a giant amount of comfort.

I was in a car accident on the highway the Callaway park in 19…

Sorry, 2021. See, that's why I need a successor.

I forget what century it is, and that's probably the post-concussion.

Yeah, so.

But it was in 2021 during COVID and I'm sitting on the side of the highway in the ditch waiting for an

ambulance and thinking “what about my family? What about the clients? What about the practice?”

And it gave me a lot of comfort to know that if Cam was here and it would be all OK if anything bad

happened to me after that accident.

So it means a lot to me to have an honorable partner like Cam.

Thank you to him for your continued mentorship.

It's seven years now on the team and I, I couldn't be more grateful and happier for working with you

and everything I've learned and, and getting to know all of you as well too.

Like our clients, it's feels like one giant family and something that we love to do on a day in and day

out.

And that's the reason why we come to work every day.

So from all of us at the Gustafson-Lienau Advisory Group, we want to say thank you very much and

wish you all a wonderful holiday season.

“Happy Holidays and Happy New Year to everyone.”

National Bank Financial - Wealth Management (NBFWM) is a division of National Bank Financial Inc. (NBF), as well as a trademark owned by National Bank of Canada (NBC) that is used under license by NBF. NBF is a member of the Canadian Investment Regulatory Organization (CIRO) and the Canadian Investor Protection Fund (CIPF), and is a wholly-owned subsidiary of NBC, a public company listed on the Toronto Stock Exchange (TSX: NA). 

National Bank Financial Ranked #1 for Advised Investor Satisfaction by J.D. Power 2 years in a row

Economic news

Economic Impact

To keep you informed and stimulate your thinking, Stéfane Marion and Nancy Paquet take a look at economic news and share their perspectives in our monthly informative videos.

Hello everyone and welcome to Economic Impact. We are December 9th, 2025. First, I want to say a big thank you to my colleague Denis Girouard, who was the lead of this little video for more than two years. And I also want to thank him because he was, for more than 30 years, a strong pillar at National Bank. So, Denis, happy retirement and thank you for everything that you did. So, I'll take a minute to introduce myself. I am Nancy Paquet, Head of Wealth Management at National Bank, and I have the privilege of having this conversation with Stéfane Marion today. Stéfane is our Chief Economist as you know him. So, Stéfane, what can you tell us about 2025?

Well, I thought since you're here with me this morning, Nancy, that I would start, Wealth Management would start with the returns that we've seen across different asset classes so far. The year's not over Nancy.

Yeah, two weeks, but still, everything is positive.

Everything is positive, so everything is in the black, you'll be happy about that. And notice the performance of the Canadian stock market.

Wow.

Who would've guessed?

Who would've guessed in January when it was the first day of the American new presidency and we were so worried and not knowing really what was going to happen. This is amazing, but how can this happen?

Well, if you put some historical perspective on this 30%, it's, you know, we're looking and there's still possibility that we could chase, you know, beat the record that we saw in 2009, Nancy. But I think it's a reflection of resilience in equity markets. Yes, gold prices were up, but also banks did very well. But banks won't do well if the economy doesn't do well. And I think one of the most surprising factors, the stock market was surprising, but every stock market in the world finished a year in positive territory, but what was surprising is the performance of the economy where the unemployment rate, as of last Friday, the day that was published shows that the jobless rate in Canada is now lower in November than it was at the start of the year and we went through a very scary period here, over 7% and now back at 6.5%.

But hopefully this is the beginning of a trend and not just a statistic hiccup. So, do we know the quality of those jobs? Because that could have a major impact.

It's a good question. Maybe it was the people that just left the labour force. So, it's not a quality reading on the jobless rate. So let me reassure you, Nancy.

Oh, that's good.

More than 380,000 jobs so far in 2025, mostly full-time. That's great. Well-distributed private, public sector, mostly private this time around, which is good news and concentrated in industries that pay more than the average across industries. So, all in all, a good structure to support the economy.

Good. Looking forward to seeing the next graph next, in a month when we're going to do the next video because it would be amazing that it really is the beginning of a trend.

Yeah, well, be careful. It's super volatile. But I have to say the past three months have been surprising. So, even if we, finishing a year below 7% on the jobless rate was quite an accomplishment and with these types of full-time job creation, I think is supportive and brings us hope for 2026 that the economy shows resilience at the end of this year was good news.

So, we saw the markets doing well. We saw the unemployment rate going down and tomorrow, we're Wednesday, with the announcement of Bank of Canada. So, what do you think?

They can't lower rates. They're going to stay put. U.S. will drop rates, but not Canada. The economy is doing somewhat better, inflation’s about target, but nonetheless you can't justify reducing rates at this point in time. So, the Bank has done a good job. They were pre-emptive. They were concerned about the economy. Now they posit, Nancy, and we'll see what happens in the next few months. But for now, I think suffices to say that you remain on the sidelines.

Okay, so all of this should lead to our snowbirds being happier. Is the dollar improving so that they can go South and enjoy the sun?

Yes, snowbirds will be happy, but also people that try to have a forward view or longer-term view on Canada because I think the currency is less susceptible to a decline given the macro backdrop, but also what the federal government has deployed in recent weeks in terms of budgets. But also, you know the Memorandum of Understanding with the U.S. The Alberta sorry. So Canadian dollar has gained 3 cents. So yes, if you travel overseas or to the U.S., you have a somewhat stronger Canadian dollar and that's good news because that helps maintain their standards of living.

Absolutely. And with all this, I mean we can create our own jobs and our own companies, but to increase our productivity, we also need to have foreign dollars coming to Canada, and I don't think that's a good number yet, right?

No, and you're right, that's why I want to be prudent for 2026 to sustain the job growth that we've been speaking to into next year. I need to bring investment back to Canada. So, we had two good positive quarters, but then we're back into negative territory. And notice Nancy, you know, we haven't been able to attract investment in this country for the past decade. So, hopefully what the federal government has done with the agreement with Alberta, there's a perception now that the energy sector is no longer stranded. So, you can come to Canada, invest, build factories, and have access to energy. If you want to do data centres, you can use natural gas to supply your data centres. So, that is a possibility that you bring foreign direct investment. So, the policies that have been deployed are structuring, but I need to confirm them. You're absolutely right to maintain a strong bid on my labour markets in 2026. Can't do it without business investment. You're absolutely right. We need to see that in 2026.

Absolutely. And what about our neighbors from the South? How are they feeling?

I don't know if they're disappointed because of what's happening to Canada, but their consumer confidence in the doldrums. Maybe there's some jealousy here.

That's surprising.

Yeah. So, it reflects frustration because whether or not the politicians will admit to it or not, if you impose a tariff structure of roughly 15% on your imports, which is what the U.S. is doing right now, it's showing up on inflation. And the U.S. household sector doesn't have access to the generosity of the social safety net that we have in Canada, so every bit of inflation bites even more, right? So, yes, quite the frustration. Lowest consumer confidence since COVID. So, I'm sure the U.S. president is looking at this saying "Well, you know that's not sustainable. Maybe I need to reframe my tariff structure in 2026, it could give me some little bit of appeasement on the CPI.".

And there isn't a lot of time to be able to do that because midterm is November.

That's why you might say that in midterm election year, the White House will do everything in its power to bring consumer confidence back up. And I don't think it's with higher tariffs, it's with lower inflation and lower interest rates.

Okay, so what about mortgages in the States? Well, I'm getting a little lower interest rates with the Fed again tomorrow, Nancy. Will be below 4%, but the problem is the frustration comes from the fact that the 30-year bond yield is not coming down. So, if the government bond yield doesn't come down, then the 30-year mortgage rate's not coming down. So, unlike a homeowner in Canada, in the U.S. they're not feeling the impact of monetary easing because long term rates remain very sticky on the upside.

So they have inflation and they have their mortgages payments not going down, so that's a frustration.

That explains the lack or the low level, the low reading on consumer confidence.

Absolutely. And what about government spending? What's happening in Canada, U.S.?

It's a global phenomenon, so you have to be careful what you wish for in 2026. So we've had good growth this year, but it's been supported by massive government stimulus across the planet. So, unless I deploy productivity gains in 2026, at some point you'll have to pay the piper on that one. So, for financial markets, we've had low volatility because stronger than expected economic growth, but does that come back to bite us in 2026 is the big question. So, unless I deploy productivity gains in the next few quarters, you might want to reassess the valuations on your global financial markets. So, 2025 was a spectacular year on the back of government spending. 2026 I need to deliver on productivity gains to justify these high valuations.

Productivity meaning AI, agentic AI, review of processes, investment in plants so that they can do. 

You're so right.

So much more.

You're so right. So everybody, we're seeing the investment, now does it translate into productivity. You and I will have a lot of conversations next year on that topic.

Definitely. So Stéfane, looking forward to hearing you again in 2026 to see what it will bring to us. I want to thank you for taking the time to listen to this little time with Stéfane and I want to wish you a happy season. Take the time to rest. It's two weeks where you can spend time with family and friends. So, looking forward to seeing you again in January. Thank you, Stéfane.

Thank you.

5 • 4 • 3 Market Outlook

5 minutes, 4 graphs, 3 key takeaways! Discover a fresh focused quarterly review of markets, the economy and investments with expert Louis Lajoie from our CIO Office.

Hello everyone. Today, December 4, we're going to briefly look back on 2025 before turning over to what we can reasonably expect for 2026 based on what we know now.And what we know now is that 2025 turned out to be or is on track to be another very positive year for equity investors, albeit quite volatile early in the year. We all know why, A bit more volatile in recent weeks as expected. But overall, with a resilient economy and resilient earnings growth, the uptrend was sustained for equity markets much like it was sustained over the previous two years where we also saw above average returns for global equities, which leads everyone wondering how long we can sustain such an above fast pace for equity markets. 

And the first decisive factor to answer that question next year will be how the labour market will be evolving. And for now, we are still seeing a gradual slowdown. The unemployment rate is now at its weakest since 2021. We're also seeing job openings slowing down as a proportion to unemployed workers. And to be clear here, this is not necessarily problematic. We're coming from a point of unprecedented labour market tight tightness. This is, to some extent, welcome and we don't expect any significant accident on the labour market front next year. But what makes things a little bit more complicated this time around is that we're also facing uncertainty from a more structural point of view, with a marked slowdown in population growth given immigration policies in the U.S. And potentially something that's affecting labour demand with advances in artificial intelligence in technology that we'll have to see how they will evolve and have an impact next year.

They may also have an impact on labour market productivity, which we'll have to keep a close eye on, which hasn't been especially high over the last decade. But if we look at the latest episode of massive investments in technology, we see that there's ground for optimism in terms of labour productivity, which to be clear, doesn't guarantee many, many years of very strong positive equity returns. For instance, we all know equity markets are discounting machines, so definitely already discounting the likely benefits from a productivity standpoint ahead of us. And we all remember that in the early 2000s, we had reached a point of excessive optimisms on this front. We're not immune to disappointments for technology and 2026 will be an important year. But for us, for now, this mostly means that we have to keep a close eye on these big tech companies, their financial health, because they're carry the bulk of these investments. For now, as a whole, their financial health remains very strong. 

And not only that, but the overall market backdrop in our mind remains quite supportive for equity markets with things like central banks having cut policy rates, global growth being rather broad based, earnings growth also quite positive and sustained upward equity momentum. Now to be clear, these four conditions, they're not foolproof. Nothing guarantees that these four conditions will remain in place. But bear in mind that typically speaking, to out of four is sufficient to form a rather positive view on equities. And right now, again, we're four out of four.

To sum things up, the story in 2025 was essentially one with its very own chapters, but the very same conclusion as in the previous two years, which is that despite massive uncertainties, a resilient economy, resilient earnings growth allowed equities to move upward. In 2026, we are still facing a lot of uncertainties, labour market fragility, the massive AI bet being undertaken by tech companies and our first change in leadership at the U.S. Federal Reserve in eight years. I didn't really talk about that today, but this is definitely an event that carries significant importance for next year. And as a whole, for us, this means that even though the market backdrop remains supportive after three consecutive years of very strong equity returns, the reasonable expectation from here on out is for more modest returns and sustained volatility, which is essentially what we have experienced this very quarter in Q4 of 2025.

That's it for today. Thank you for listening. Happy holidays everyone and we will talk again next year.

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Monthly Economic Monitor

Explore a regional overview with our monthly monitors covering Canada, the United States and the world, each offering forecasts tailored to its area's economic outlook.

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Monthly Equity Monitor

Experts from National Bank summarize the current state of stock markets globally in this monthly report.

Investment strategy

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Investment Strategy

This quarterly publication informs you of global economic conditions, asset allocation recommendations and economic forecasts.

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Asset Allocation Strategy

What’s moving in the financial market and how does that impact your investments? National Bank Investments provides a portfolio strategy across asset classes.

Federal and provincial budgets 

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Federal Budget

Learn how the Canadian Government plans to execute the annual economic agenda in this year's federal budget.

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Alberta Budget

Our experts examine your province's budget and the financial updates related to it.

Guides and tools

Investing Guide - we're here to answer your questions. A multigenerational sitting in a field laughing and talking to each other.

Investing Guide

This reference guide contains a wealth of practical information and tools to help you plan your projects. Download it to your desktop to enjoy all the features.

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Tax and Investment Guide

Find everything you will need to successfully file your taxes in our comprehensive tax and investment guide.

Myths and realities by National Bank Investments.

Myths and Realities

Looking for reliable financial analysis? The CIO Office of National Bank Investments provides a detailed report on interest rates, bonds, the stock market and portfolio strategy.

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Quick Facts

Find the amounts of the different government plans (CPP, QPP, OAS), the TFSA, RRSP and RESP contribution limits, and the link to the different tax tables.

Fraud prevention

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Find out how to protect yourself against fraud.

Read our tips

National Bank Financial received the highest score in the J.D. Power 2024 Canada Full-Service Investor Satisfaction Study and in the advised segment of the J.D. Power 2025 Canada Investor Satisfaction Studies, which measures the satisfaction of investors who may engage with any financial advisor(s). For J.D. Power award information, visit jdpower.com/awards.

Contact us

Get contact information for our team members and find out where our offices are.