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My investment philosophy recognizes that we all have a limited amount of investment risk to utilize. Be patient. Wait for opportunities, then spend your risk chips wisely. Recognize that while markets can be irrational, you should always respect general market behavior. However, be pragmatic enough to utilize price changes. Be calm. As events unfold, be humble enough to continually look for flaws in the investment thesis - and adjust accordingly.
I start by recognizing the primary(macro) valuation factors that are driving asset prices. After applying fundamental, technical, and behavioral analysis - mispriced sectors and securities are identified. I then screen bottom-up factors such as: upcoming catalysts, insider trading, competitive positioning, and financial statement analysis to identify mispriced securities.
I build portfolios with securities that have skewed risk/rewards profiles, and accumulate only as opportunity arises. To unwind my positions, I identify if sentiment and price are over reaching and whether the macro factors are turning more or less favorable.
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